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2024-12-13 16:54:05

WTI crude oil fell by 1.00% in the day and is now reported at $69.26/barrel.Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.


Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)Some taxis in Kunming spontaneously cut prices to save passenger flow. Officially, personal behavior is not illegal, and unified price adjustment opinions are being sought. Recently, the relevant departments in Kunming issued a notice to solicit suggestions for preferential freight rates in view of the decreasing number of taxi customers. At present, before the deadline for consultation, some taxi drivers in Kunming have started to cut prices spontaneously, and the starting price has dropped from 10 yuan to 6 yuan. The staff of Kunming Transportation and Port and Shipping Development Center said that there is no unified price reduction for the time being, and the opinions of freight rate preferential activities are being sought. They know that some drivers cut prices spontaneously, which is a personal act and not a violation. Regarding the preferential activities, the latest news will be announced in time. (Extreme News)


Russian Foreign Minister: It's not the first time that Ukrainian President refused to propose a ceasefire. On December 12, local time, the Russian Foreign Ministry reported that Hungarian Foreign Minister Sergei Jardot had spoken with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and told Ukrainian President Zelensky that he had rejected the Hungarian proposal for a temporary ceasefire and an exchange of prisoners of war in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Lavrov said that this is not the first time that the Ukrainian authorities rejected the relevant suggestions made by other countries after releasing their own signals. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union has come to an end. We have made the latest efforts for peace and proposed a ceasefire on December 25th and a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ".Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.

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